Stop Guessing. Start Knowing.
DealDx is the decision-support platform that combines sophisticated analytics + business coaching to help acquisition entrepreneurs evaluate deals with confidence and execute value creation plans with accountability.
Why not just use ChatGPT or Claude?
General-purpose AI is powerful, but deal analysis requires specialized infrastructure
Accuracy & Reliability
Purpose-built for deal analysis with safeguards against AI hallucinations
- Financial primitives — validated building blocks, not free-form generation
- Multi-agent validation — adversarial checks catch errors before you see them
- No context rot — persistent deal memory that doesn't degrade mid-conversation
Consistency
Battle-tested workflows that deliver reliable results every time
- Works out of the box — no prompt engineering or reinventing the wheel
- Repeatable process — same rigorous analysis framework for every deal
- Personalize once — adapt workflows to your style, then use forever
Collective Intelligence
Learn from patterns across thousands of deals, not just your own experience
- What actually works — insights from real deals, not theoretical advice
- Smart defaults — industry-calibrated stress tests (NOI -10%, cap rate shifts, etc.)
- Evolving knowledge — continuously improving from community learnings
"Why do I need DealDx when I have Excel?"
Great question. Here's the difference between point estimates and probabilistic decision support.
Excel
Single-point analysis
Excel helps you answer:
"What's my IRR if growth is 8%?"
DealDx
Probabilistic decision support
DealDx helps you answer:
Given realistic ranges of uncertainty around all my assumptions:
What's the probability I hit 25% IRR?
Monte Carlo simulation across 10,000 scenarios
What's the probability I lose money?
Downside risk quantified, not guessed
What's the optimal financing strategy?
Compare SBA, seller, equity structures instantly
The $4M Decision You're Making in a Spreadsheet
Acquisition entrepreneurs operate in isolation. You build DCF models in spreadsheets you're not sure are right. You make million-dollar decisions based on gut feel dressed up as analysis. And then—if you close—you wake up Day 1 as a new owner with no playbook and no one holding you accountable to the value creation thesis that justified the deal.
The search fund and independent sponsor community has plenty of deal sourcing tools. What you don't have is a decision-support system that answers the only question that matters:
The Question"Should I buy this business, at what price, and what exactly do I do after I own it?"
How It Works
Three phases to transform how you evaluate and execute acquisitions
Model the Deal in Minutes
Answer a handful of questions about your target. DealDx builds a fully dynamic financial model, runs Monte Carlo simulations, and shows you the full probability distribution of outcomes—not just a single IRR. See your maximum bid at any return threshold, optimal financing structures, and which assumptions will kill you if you're wrong.
Pressure-Test Your Thesis
Our AI coach walks you through your deal in conversation. "You're projecting 15% revenue growth—what specific initiatives get you there?" "Your margin expansion assumes $180K in cuts—have you validated these with the seller?" Surface blind spots before they become expensive mistakes.
Execute With Discipline
The output isn't a PDF that sits in a folder. It's a tactical 100-day plan with weekly milestones, daily SMS prompts, and progress check-ins. Think of it as a fractional integrator in your pocket—one that knows exactly what you said you'd do.
Real-Time Decision Support
Adjust assumptions and watch every metric update instantly. Built for live negotiations.
DealDx
Dynamic Deal Intelligence Platform
IRR Probability Distribution
Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 runs) • Green = Above 25% target
Key Outputs
Every analysis you need to make confident acquisition decisions
Return Probability Distribution
Not a single IRR—the full Monte Carlo distribution showing your probability of hitting target returns, breaking even, or losing money.
Maximum Bid Calculator
"To hit 25% IRR with 80% confidence, your max price is $X." Inverts the typical DCF workflow into actionable guidance.
Financing Structure Optimizer
Compare SBA-heavy vs. balanced vs. conservative capital stacks. See IRR, DSCR, and default probability for each.
Sensitivity Waterfall
Know which assumptions move the needle most. Focus your diligence and negotiations where they matter.
Downside Scenario Analysis
What if revenue drops 15% in Year 1? What if you can't exit for 7 years? See the realistic bad case.
Investor Deck Generator
Auto-generate the quantitative slides for your investor presentation. Save hours, increase credibility.
Your AI Operating Partner
After the model is built, DealDx shifts from analyst to coach. A conversational AI walks you through your deal—pressure-testing assumptions, surfacing blind spots, and helping you build a concrete value creation plan.
Challenges your revenue growth assumptions
Validates cost reduction plans with seller data
Builds exit strategy before Day 1
You're projecting 15% revenue growth in Year 2. Walk me through the specific initiatives that get you there.
We'll expand into two adjacent markets and add a sales rep.
Got it. What's the revenue per sales rep at similar companies in this industry? And have you validated the adjacent market demand with potential customers?
Your biggest sensitivity is exit multiple. What's your plan to make this business more attractive to buyers in 5 years?
Day 12: Have you scheduled the ops review with your GM? Reply YES when done.
Week 3 milestone: Customer interviews complete. What's the #1 insight?
Customers want faster delivery - willing to pay 15% more for 2-day shipping
Your value lever #2 (pricing optimization) is behind schedule. What's blocking you?
From Thesis to Execution
The coaching conversation generates a tactical 100-day plan tied directly to your value creation thesis. Daily SMS prompts keep you accountable. Chat/text proactive progress check-ins capture what you're actually doing. Course corrections happen when reality diverges from plan.
Daily accountability prompts
Stay on track with specific action reminders
Weekly milestone tracking
Measure progress against your value creation plan
Real-time course corrections
Adapt when reality differs from your thesis
Built for Acquisition Entrepreneurs
Whether you're backed by institutions or betting your own capital
Search Fund Principals
You've raised a fund and are evaluating dozens of deals. DealDx helps you move faster on analysis and present institutional-quality investment memos to your investors.
Independent Sponsors
You're sourcing deal-by-deal capital. DealDx gives you the quantitative rigor to win investor confidence and the execution framework to deliver returns.
Self-Funded Searchers
Your net worth is on the line. DealDx helps you avoid overpaying and ensures you have a real plan for Day 1—not just optimism.
Pricing
We're currently in private beta with select acquisition entrepreneurs. Early access users will lock in founder pricing when we launch.
Join the Waitlist
Be the first to know when we launch and lock in founder pricing.
Make Your Next Acquisition With Confidence
Join the private beta and get early access to DealDx.
Currently working with searchers from HBS, Stanford GSB, Booth, and leading independent sponsor groups.